Many causes have contributed to the outbreak and continuation of conflict in Afghanistan. Continued challenges to faith and dignity, ethnic suppression and political exclusion, and ineffective and illegitimate government leadership. What do you think will happen next? Is Afghanistan doomed as a country. Join us, as we look at why Afghanistan is headed to war with all its neighbors.
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Turbulent Afghanistan
Afghanistan is synonymous with instability, brutality, and conflict. For nearly half a century, the country has been consumed by a perpetual state of conflict, which has sucked in all the world's superpowers at some point, as the chaos within Afghanistan has always found a way to spread far beyond Afghanistan's own borders. Following a Soviet invasion in the 1980s, a civil war in the 1990s, and an American invasion in the 2000s and 2010s, the next chapter of Afghanistan's ongoing wars began in the summer of 2021, when the US began finalizing its long-awaited withdrawal from the country. Within three months, and despite almost everyone's predictions, the Taliban managed to quickly overcome the US-backed and formed Afghan Republic, reestablishing their so-called Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by the end of the year. America's attempt to establish a country in its own image in Afghanistan failed catastrophically, as had the Soviets before them.
Afghanistan’s Gloomy Future
After regaining power in the summer of 2021 after two decades of insurgency, the Taliban has worked tirelessly to strengthen its position in the country, but it has not been easy for them. Almost soon after gaining power, the United States and other outside entities cut off nearly all their foreign aid to Afghanistan, which amounted to about $8 billion per year and constituted roughly 40% of Afghanistan's total GDP, all at once. On top of that massive difficulty, the vast majority of Afghanistan's approximately $9 billion in foreign exchange reserves, which had been built up over the previous 20 years, were stored in New York City, and the United States. When the Taliban regained control of the country, the government immediately froze access to all these assets. Afghanistan was further isolated from the Western financial and banking transaction system, and nearly every Taliban commander was already subject to rigorous pre-existing US financial sanctions. As a result, when the Taliban regained control of the country in mid-2021, the already destitute and ailing economy plummeted even more. Just look at this graph of Afghanistan's GDP and current prices from 2008 to 2022.